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OPINION:
The Grim Lessons of 2000

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Contributed by Stanislav Kelman
osOpinion.com
December 19, 2000


The value system where education was worth something, experience was respected, and money was not the only thing that mattered, has collapsed.

In This Story:

It's the Economy, Stupid

Generation "I"

Do You Want a Revolution?

This editorial is a follow-up to an article called The End Is Near that I wrote in December 1999. I'll let my dear readers be the judges on whether I was right in the predictions that I made back then.

It's the Economy, Stupid

Just a year ago, everybody seemed to think that the "New Economy" was supposed to make the world a better place. The pundits told us that it was somehow going to let us live longer and happier lives, eradicate illiteracy, cure all the diseases, eliminate crime, and bring prosperity to every last inhabitant of the planet Earth. But, in the end, the New Economy doesn't even seem to be able to save itself.

For a while, the mass media insisted that the Internet was causing a fundamental and irreversible shift in the way the financial markets operate and that it has brought an end to the "cyclical" economy. If that is so, then why are we hearing all those rumors about the possibility of a "hard landing" or even a full-blown recession?

At the beginning of this year, we were led to believe that the Nasdaq would just keep on rising. Instead, it has literally fallen in half. I think it's time to fire all those financial "analysts" who maintained "Strong Buy" ratings on stocks that were destined to sink 90 percent or more. The whole situation has been described as a "total collapse," with the tech sector heading for its worst year since the mid-1980s, yet these guys are still "bullish." Somebody, please get them out of my sight…

Generation "I"

It probably really sucks to be a part of the "Internet Generation." They were told that the "new economy" was supposed to make them all into multi-millionaires. They thought that everybody who knew a little HTML would be rewarded with stock options worth more than the Queen of England.

Surely, the "whiz" kids that expected to drive Ferraris by the time they were 20 years of age are rightfully disappointed. They were deceived and they were taken advantage of.

Clearly, the "Internet Golden Rush" has had its toll. The entire value system where education was worth something, experience was respected, and money was not the only thing that mattered, has collapsed. Those who have entered the labor force in the late 1990s were convinced that it didn't make any difference whether they had an IQ of a chimpanzee as long as they could generate SQL queries.

The entire idea of a career has somehow been reduced to job-hopping every six months in search of a better "package." It worked for some but most were left empty-handed and emotionally unfulfilled.

Now, it's payback time. The e-commerce employees are unionizing. They are tired of working 80-hour weeks, something that has been explicitly forbidden by the Labor Laws for about a century now. They don't want any more "productivity gains" that simply result from their unpaid overtime. They are sick of being lured to work on "the next big thing" only to be handed a pink slip soon thereafter. They seem to have finally learned to know better.

A year ago I secretly wished I was one of them. Now, I'm not so sure.

Do You Want a Revolution?

Anyway, here's what I really want to know. What the hell has gone wrong with this whole "Internet Revolution" thing? Where are those free PCs that all of us were supposed to have by now? Universal connectivity? Cheap broadband? World peace? And, lastly, what has happened to that lovely sock puppet that spent a fortune peddling dog treats at the last Super Bowl? And I thought my refrigerator should have been wired already to be able to order food for all my pets…not that I have any.

Here's a reality check. All the cheap talk notwithstanding, our lives haven't changed that much. Take me for instance. I need only one hand to count the things that I do differently now from how I did them a year ago. Most notably, I pay my credit card bills online. But is that the absolute best a hundred billion dollar investment in technology can do for us?

The way I see it, as long as high tech is being ran by college dropouts turned visionaries, we shouldn't expect much. Besides, history tells us that technological progress takes time. I guess some teenage CEOs just never had a chance to go to school to find that out…

Talkback Forum


Author's background:
Stanislav Kelman is not a big fan of "revolutions" of any kind. He doesn't consider himself a member of Generation X, Y, or I. Neither does he claim to be a financial guru. He simply likes to express his views. Naturally, he would love to hear your reaction to his opinion columns, so feel free to drop him a line at osopinion@letitbe.org

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